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Premier League Picks Week 24
Manchester City to Get Back to Winning Ways
Manchester City lost their first league game of the season last weekend when they lost 4-3 away to Liverpool. Having boasted of 20 wins and two draws from 22 games, it was a major surprise to see City trail 4-1 at one stage on their defeat. The Citizens did manage to claw two goals back late on, but it was too little too late.
City still have a 12 point cushion between themselves and second-placed Manchester City and should increase their points tally after the latest round of fixtures. This is because City host Newcastle United, a team that has been improving, although they still look like struggling for the rest of the season.
While City top the form table over the past 10 games, with eight wins, a draw and one loss, Newcastle are 13th with two wins, three draws and five defeats Scoring goals has been a problem for The Magpies as they have only scored 10 in their previous 10 matches, compared to the 25 goals City have scored.
There is little value in backing City to win outright because Bovada have them priced at -950. Newcastle, on the other hand, are a massive +2100. While this should be a walk in the park for the home side, I wouldn’t deter people from betting on the draw at +850, only a small bet though, as Newcastle almost held city when at home earlier in the season.
Betting on Manchester City to be winning at half time and full time is -225 and this looks better value. Bovada think City will hammer Newcastle, but I think it could be a little closer.
Out of form Saints Need a Miracle Against Spurs
Southampton go into their home fixture against Tottenham Hotspur without a win in 10 games and this awful run looks set to continue this weekend.
Manager Mauricio Pellegrino is under immense pressure and could lose his job if Southampton’s performance against Spurs doesn’t at least show some fighting spirit. History does not bode well for Southampton as they lost 4-1 and 2-0 the last two times these sides met at St. Mary’s Stadium.
Spurs, currently occupying fifth place, are a bargain priced -165 to return to London with all three points in the bag. Six wins, two draws and two defeats mark Spurs’ form over the last 10 games. They have scored 25 goals and conceded 11 during this time and four of those came in the 4-1 away defeat at high flying Man City.
Harry Kane hit his 19th and 20th league goals of the season in the 4-0 humbling of Everton last week and it would take a brave bettor to wager against him scoring again. Kane is +260 to open the scoring, -125 to score during the 90 minutes and I will be backing both.
Spurs to win at -165 looks like the steal of the season, get your cash lumped on.
Goal Shy Swans Set to Struggle Against the Liver Birds
Swansea City are rooted to the bottom of the Premier League table and are now four points way from safety. Their precarious position will likely worsen after they entertain Liverpool this weekend.
The Swans have only won four games this season and two of those have come in the last 10 games. Those victories at home to West Brom and away to Watford hardly went against the run of form because both opponents have been struggling of late.
Worrying for Swansea fans is a lack of goals. Only seven goals scored in the previous 10 games and a poor 14 goals from all 23 league games this season shows one of the reasons they look destined to be relegated at the end of the current campaign. Swansea will get chances to score against Liverpool, who have leaked 21 goals in 11 away games to date, but they will probably spend all 90-minutes defending against Liverpool’s relentless attack to even register a shot on target.
Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool are -350 to win, which is a little too short for me. I do, however, like the look of Liverpool scoring more than two goals at -140, there to be over 2.5 goal at -145 and the Liverpool to won 3-0, 3-1 or 302 at +275.
I’ll be looking to try parlay a Liverpool win, Tottenham win and Man City win in the same bet, then place the other wages mentioned above.
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