Premier League Picks Week 23
Can Liverpool Stop Manchester City?
Liverpool host leaders Manchester City at Anfield on Sunday where they will look for revenge for the drubbing their received earlier in the season. City demolished Liverpool 5-0 in the reverse fixture on September 9 courtesy of a Sergio Aguero goals and braces for Gabriel Jesus and Leroy Sane.
The home side are unbeaten in the Premier League in 14 matches and have won four out of their previous five matches. Admittedly, Liverpool should have beaten the teams they faced during those six games but you can only beat what is put in front of you.
Jurgen Klopp is almost guaranteed to hand £75 million signing Virgil van Dijk a Premier League debut and the central defender will add some much needed steel to the heart of Liverpool’s defence. It will also be the first game Liverpool has played without Philippe Coutinho who left for Barcelona in a massive £146 million deal. How will Liverpool cope without the talismanic Brazilian?
City will be without captain Vincent Kompany and Gabriel Jesus through injury. Pep Guardiola’s squad, however, has more than enough talent in its ranks to seriously trouble their hosts.
Liverpool have a solid home record against City. This fixture ended 1-0 to Liverpool last season and Liverpool won 3-0 the season before that and 2-1 during the previous campaign. In fact, you have to go back to the 2002/03 season to find the last time City beat Liverpool at Anfield.
I like the look of both teams to score and the game to end in a tie at +300 with Bovada and also Sergio Aguero to score at anytime at -110. The Argentinian has eight goals in his previous nine games in all competitions and is on 13 goals in 15 Premier League this term.
Red Devils to Pour More Misery on Potters Fans
The red half of Manchester invite managerless Stoke City to their Old Trafford home knowing they have a great chance of closing the gap at the top of the table. With City facing a stern test at Liverpool, United will be looking to take all three points against a struggling Stoke side.
United haven’t been in the best of form of late. Three consecutive draws ended with a 2-0 win over Everton. This match ended 1-1 last season, although there is very little chance of this happening this time around because United are the second-best home team in the Premier League this season while Stoke are the worst away team.
At home, United have won eight, drawn two and lost once in 11 games. They have scored 24 goals and only conceded five during this period. Compare this to Stoke who have one win, three draws and seven defeats from 11 away games. Scoring only 10 goals and conceding a league worst 27 is worrying.
Bovada think this game will end 2-0 or 3-0 to Manchester United as they are priced at +600 and +650 respectively. United keeping a clean sheet at -140 is the same odds as Man United to win an only one team to score so if you fancy either of those bets, opt for the former. Sorry Stoke fans, you are going home empty-handed again.
Spurs to Close the Gap on the Premier League Top Four
Tottenham Hotspur go into their home fixture against Everton four points away from the top four places, although they could close the gap to a single point if Liverpool lose to Manchester City and Spurs take all three points against the Toffees.
Spurs versus Everton is usually an exciting match but Tottenham will be forced to work harder than ever in this latest encounter. Everton’s manager, Sam Allardyce, is a defensive master and he will set his team up difficult to beat.
The home side need Harry Kane to be firing on all cylinders if they are to break through the Everton back line. Kane is the league’s top scorer with 18 goals and is the -185 favorite with Bovada to finish the season at the top of the goal scoring charts. The England captain looks unstoppable so the +200 on Kane scoring first and the -175 on his scoring at anytime look like bargain bets.
There doesn’t seem to be much value in backing Spurs at -395, instead, do your research into the half time / full time market where Spurs are +310 to be drawing at half time before going on to win. I can see Everton making it difficult for their hosts, but don’t think t hey can hang on for the full 90 minutes.
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