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EPL Week 10 Best Picks
Manchester United host Tottenham Hotspur this weekend knowing that a victory would push them three points clear of their London rivals in second place and could close the gap on league leaders Manchester City to only two points, although city play later in the day and could reopen that five-point advantage. United slipped up to a 2-1 away defeat at newly promoted Huddersfield Two last weekend, their first league defeat of the season. United’s players were read the riot act by manager Jose Mourinho who will demand a much better performance from his men this week.
The Manchester side have scored goals for fun at their Old Trafford home, winning 4-0 three times and have kept four clean sheets in all of their home league games this campaign.
Bovada expect United to concede because they have a 1-1 draw as the most likely result at +575 with a United 1-0 win priced at +600. Spurs have won nine of their previous 10 away league games, but it is worth noting they haven’t won at Old Trafford since a 2-1 victory in the 2013-14 season. Last season, United won 1-0, which is the same score as the 2015/16 season. I like the look of this bet and the +600 odds are favourable.
You should also consider that Harry Kane will miss the game through injury, which is a major blow to Tottenham. Kane has scored eight goals in nine league games to-date and his replacement is Fernando Llorente who has only featured four times as a substitute. Christian Eriksen and Dele Alli have three goals apiece, but they are likely to be well marshalled in the centre of the field so don’t expect lots of goals from Spurs.
With us edging towards a 1-0 United win, consider betting on their being under two goals at +130 and United to keep a clean sheet at +155.
Chelsea should feast on the Cherries
Bournemouth have endured a torrid time this season and find themselves 19th in the table with only seven points from their opening nine games. This weekend matters could get worse because Chelsea head to the Vitality Stadium knowing they must win to keep their title dreams alive, even at this early stage of the season.
The Cherries have managed to beat only Brighton at home in the Premier League this season and that is worrying for their fans. Until they beat Stoke 2-1 on the road last weekend, Bournemouth only had one win in six and looked a sorry side.
History doesn’t bode well for Bournemouth because they have lost all four of their previous Premier League games against the reigning champions, Chelsea. This game last season ended 3-1 to Chelsea with a 4-1 win coming the season before. A 3-1 Chelsea win is priced at an attractive +1100 although Bovada price a 1-1 draw as the +700 favorite.
There have been talks of a potential crisis at Chelsea after they lost back-to-back league games against Man City and Crystal Palace, but a 3-3 draw against AS Roma in the Champions League and then a 4-2 win against Watford have help relieve some pressure on manager Antonio Conte.
Conte welcomes back Eden Hazard to the fray and I fancy the Belgian to get on the scoresheet this weekend. You’ll find +450 odds on Hazard scoring first in this game and +150 on his finding the back of the net before the full time whistle is blown. Either bet looks good in my eyes and I wouldn’t deter anyone from taking a punt.
Last season I wouldn’t have bet on anyone scoring past Chelsea because their defense was rock solid. This season they seem to leak a lot of goals so backing both teams to score and Chelsea to win at +200 looks like a winner.
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