Thu 09/03/2017 - 08:42 EST

EPL Match Day 28 Betting Preview

EPL Match Day 28 Betting Preview

Best Value Premier League Bets

By Matt Pitt

Everton (-160) vs. West Bromwich Albion (+450)

Everton

Everton can close the gap on sixth-placed Manchester United to two points if they beat West Bromwich Albion at home this weekend.

The Toffees are in superb form at Goodison Park where they have won four games in a row. They've beat Southampton 3-0, Manchester City 4-0, Bournemouth 6-3 and Sunderland 2-0 in those matches.

West Brom are without a win in three away games (two draws and one defeat) and look likely to extend that unwanted run to four games when they travel to Everton. In eight games against teams above them in the table, West Brom have only taken one point. During those games, WBA has only scored twice and conceded 17 goals.

Spread

This fixture finished 1-0 in West Brom’s favour last season but I don’t see a repeat of that this weekend. I’m shying away from the correct score market because I think the -160 on an Everton win represents good enough value on its own, which is the best pick for this match. If you fancy spicing thing up, I wouldn’t dissuade you from betting on the -1 spread Everton win at +115.

Pick: Everton win at -160

Liverpool (-475) vs. Burnley (+1200)

Liverpool

Liverpool’s title dreams are essentially over for another season so now they must focus their attention on securing a top-four position to guarantee Champions League soccer next season.

Jurgen Klopp’s men have been inconsistent and are either frighteningly superb or absolutely dire with no in-between. This weekend they take on Burnley and will need to be at their best because their opponents are well-organized and capable of an upset as shown when they beat Liverpool 2-0 at home earlier in the season despite having less than 25% of the possession.

Over 2.5

Burnley are still without an away victory this season, a run of 13 consecutive games. During this torrid spell, Burnley have only kept a single clean sheet while scoring eight. 

My bet for this game is to pile into the over 2.5 goals market at -180. Nine of Burnley’s away games have triggered this market while eight of Liverpool’s home games have done the same.

Pick: Over 2.5 goals at -180

Check out the best goals and skills from Week 27

Other Fixtures

Bournemouth (+150) vs. West Ham United (+175)

Hull City (+145) vs. Swansea City (+195)

StandingsPremier League

Category : Betting Picks

Tag : Burnley , English Premier League , everton , Liverpool , Premier League betting , West Bromwich Albion

More articles...
Betting Picks - 19/04/21
NFL Draft: Lawrence The Pick To Go No. 1 
NFL Draft: Lawrence The Pick To Go No. 1

In a quarterback-heavy year, Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence is the overwhelming favorite to go first overall in the 2021 NFL Draft picks. After that, though, things begin to get interesting. Any number of QBs could go in the 2-3 spots of the draft and there's been plenty of speculation on the order, leading to some attractive options in the betting odds and to some intriguing NFL Draft prop bets.

Betting Picks - 15/04/21
Jake Paul vs Ben Askren: Paul Stepping Up In Class 
Jake Paul vs Ben Askren: Paul Stepping Up In Class

In boxing terminology, Jake Paul is making a huge step up in class as he enters into the ring to face Ben Askren. Askren is a two-time MMA champion. Still, Paul, who has displayed his skill as a boxer in the past, remains a solid -150 favorite in the Jake Paul vs Ben Askren odds. While a champion fighter, Askren's background prior to MMA is in wrestling and jiu-jitsu.

Betting Picks - 14/04/21
UFC 261: Usman The Pick Over Masvidal 
UFC 261: Usman The Pick Over Masvidal

Kamaru Usman is the heavily-favored -400 betting choice in the UFC 261 odds to retain his UFC world welterweight belt in a rematch with Jorge Masvidal. Usman previously recorded a unanimous decision verdict over Masvidal at UFC 251. In the co-main event, UFC women's strawweight champ Zhang Weili is the -185 chalk in the UFC 261 picks to defend her title against former champion Rose Namajunas

Betting Picks - 12/04/21
The Oscars: Nomadland The Pick Of The Flicks 
The Oscars: Nomadland The Pick Of The Flicks

Making Oscars 2021 picks isn't like wagering on a sporting event. While certainly there is the so-called Oscar buzz that's generated around certain films, the decision on which movie, director or actor gains the Academy Award is solely based on a secret ballot held by the members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences. There are no past performances to assess, so going with an underdog isn't necessarily a bad strategy.