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College Football Picks Week 12
It's a rarity for me when lines of more than three scores either way seem appealing, but this week I plan on playing two such games because that's what the matchups seem to dictate. Looking back at last week, I'll take all the slings and arrows that come my way for picking Notre Dame to cover against Miami. The Canes, of course, were big winners and I've managed to scrape the excess egg from my face. Upward and onward to week 12!
Kentucky +21.5 @ Georgia -21.5 (O/U: 50.5)
Kentucky is 7-3 and fresh off a pasting of Vanderbilt last weekend, but this Cats team has issues that will make life "between the hedges" in Athens, GA plenty difficult.
UK has largely benefitted from a historically poor SEC East division this season and despite the shiny 7-3 record which is the best start the program has seen since 1984, this team still isn't sniffing the top 25. There are valid reasons for this snub beginning with UK's offensive struggles.
The Cats rank 100th in total offense and feature a run-first attack that has been predictable and one-dimensional for much of the season. On the defensive side, things aren't much better for UK where they rank 75th in total defense. Georgia is 5th in total defense and 47th in total offense and much better than anyone Kentucky has faced this year and that might even be an understatement.
There's a big spread to cover here, but Georgia (9-1) has plenty of motivation after suffering its first loss of the season last week to Auburn in blowout fashion. The Bulldogs will be eager to make a statement and they'll be getting a friendly opponent to get back on track. Many bettors will be leery of laying so many here, but I look for Georgia to lay the wood against an overmatched team.
Navy +17.5 @ Notre Dame -17.5 (O/U: 59)
The Fighting Irish have a good football team, but man were they exposed last weekend in Miami. Turnovers surely made the final margin worse than it could have been, but some of the shine has faded off the Golden Dome after that beatdown.
Unfortunately for the Irish, there's no time to lick their wounds.
This Navy squad is 6-3 and a very difficult team to prepare for with its unorthodox triple option attack. Two of the Midshipmen's three losses were close ones to top 25 opponents and they are more than capable of putting points on the board. I like getting all 17.5 of these points with a team that will run the clock and give Notre Dame plenty of different looks. If Notre Dame has any hangover whatsover from the Miami game, this one could get quite interesting.
Michigan +7.5 @ Wisconsin -7.5 (O/U: 40)
Remember the old days of Big 10 football when it was all three yards and a proverbial cloud of dust? Well here's a game that might have fans of the conference feeling nostalgic.
Undefeated Wisconsin (10-0) just climbed into the top four of the college football playoffs with a smashmouth style and the nation's top unit in total defense - a category where Michigan ranks third. Don't expect offensive fireworks in this game, but root for sound tackling and running some clock because I'm going under like thunder in this one.
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