Brent Sedo | Wed 11/10/2017 - 13:53 EDT

Breeders' Cup Mile Odds: Preview And Future Bets

Breeders' Cup Mile Odds: Preview And Future Bets

Breeders' Cup Mile Contenders

From a betting angle, the Breeders' Cup Mile has been something of a feast-or-famine event in recent years, with a look at the past ten races showing it has either been dominated by a couple strong favorites, or won by a fairly big long shot. With the top-rated runners all facing some question marks, this year's event could set up for a big payday. 

Breeders Cup Mile Odds to win at Bovada

Ribchester - Top Euro runner has won three of his last four, all at the Group 1 level, and was 2nd in the other. Scheduled to race at Royal Ascot only two weeks before the BC, which will then be his first lifetime North American start.

World Approval - Top North American choice is a front-runner who seems to hit his best stride at the mile distance. Has won four of five this year.

Barney Roy - Three-year-old UK bred has been in the money in every one of his six lifetime starts, winning three. 

Winter - Another three-year-old looking to take on elders, won four straight Group 1s over the summer, but was a soundly beaten 9th last out in the Arc de Triomphe. Not yet declared for the BC.

Decorated Knight - Three Group 1 wins this year makes him competitive with this field, but he may need more distance for his best.

Yoshida - Japanese-bred and US-based, he has a win in his last start but would be taking a big step up in class. Not yet declared for the BC.

Called To The Bar - Three-year-old Irish bred ran very well to get second in his North American debut in the Grade 1 Belmont Derby Invitational. Could be a sleeper pick if he runs.

Al Wukair - Somewhat under the radar, despite the fact he's won four of six lifetime starts and ran 2nd and 3rd in the other two. Won a Group 1 at a mile last out.

Good Samaritan - Finished 3rd in the 2016 BC Juvenile Turf, but finishing out of the money in three of his last four puts his participation here in doubt.

Roly Poly - Kentucky-bred filly has had good results recently racing in Europe, but is not likely good enough to take on the males here.

Oscar Performance - 2016 BC Juvenile Turf winner had a poor start to 2017, but has been much better lately, with a pair of recent Grade 1 wins.

Homesman - Another Kentucky bred who has done most of his racng across the pond, was a credible third last out in his North American debut, but would need to make a big move forward.

Alice Springs - Irish filly was well-backed in the 2016 Mile, going off at 4-1, after finishing 2nd in the 2015 BC Juvenile Fillies Turf, but ran a disappointing 9th.

Qemah - Another filly with a number of Group 1 wins to her name, she's been off form lately, finishing out of the money in three straight.    

2017 Breeders' Cup Mile Betting

The Breeders' Cup Mile is the second-last race of Breeders' Cup weekend, race #8 of 9 on Saturday, November 4 from Del Mar Race Track. The race offers a purse of $2 million, is open to horses aged three and older, and is run on the turf course.


The Key Betting Trends

  • Expect World Approval to take lots of North American money and drop from +500
  • Five long-shot winners in the past 10 years had average odds of +2500
  • American-breds have won 20 of 33 BC Miles since the race began
  • Late-coming entries such as Suedois and Ballah Rocks could alter the odds


Future Bet Underlays

Three-year-olds facing older horses for the first time such as Barney Roy and Winter could see their odds go up by post time, as well as any fillies that run.

Future Bet Overlays

World Approval will almost certainly be lower than +500, while Oscar Performance is also likely to drift down from +1400 in the North American betting pools. 

Next: Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Odds: Preview and Future Bets

Rank Bonus SIGN UP BONUS Review Visit Site
1
2
3

 

Category : Betting Picks

Tag : Breeders Cup , Horse Racing

More articles...
Betting Picks - 17/01/20
NFL Conference Finals 2020: Chiefs Look To End Title Drought 

It's been a half century since the Kansas City Chiefs won the Super Bowl. In fact, it's been 50 years since the Chiefs went to the Super Bowl. But Kansas City is favored to get there this year. The Chiefs go into the AFC Championship Game as 7.5-point favorites over the Tennessee Titans. Meanwhile, the San Francisco 49ers are seven-point favorites over the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Championship Game.

Betting Picks - 17/01/20
Conor McGregor vs Donald Cerrone: The Notorious Returns To The Octagon 

Conor McGregor is poised to make his return to the octagon and to UFC. The former lightweight world champion is slated to fight Donald Cerrone in a welterweight bout as part of UFC 246 on Jan. 18 in Las Vegas. The Irish fighter hasn't been in a bout since he lost via submission to UFC lightweight (155 pound) champion Khabib Nurmagomedov. Cerrone, normally a lightweight, lost his last two fights.

Betting Picks - 07/01/20
National Championship 2020: A Clash Of The Tigers 

It's a certainty that the Tigers will again be the national champions of college football this season. That's because the No. 1-ranked 14-0 LSU Tigers are pitted against the third-ranked Clemson Tigers (14-0), in this years College Football Playoff title game. Clemson are the defending national champions and are playing in the national championship game for the fourth time in five years. Clemson won two of the last three titles.

Betting Picks - 16/12/19
NCAAF Bowl Game Odds: Will Crimson Tide See Red? 

While the College Football Playoff draws much of the attention in NCAA bowl season, there are still plenty of intriguing bowl game matchups over the holiday season that offer some value bets to be played. Showdowns such as the Rose Bowl, Cotton Bowl and Orange Bowl still carry a wealth of tradition and to win one of these famous games is a point of pride to the participating schools.