Fri 21/07/2017 - 05:23 EDT

Arrogate Heavy Favorite For San Diego Handicap

Arrogate Heavy Favorite For San Diego Handicap

A Perfect Stalking Style

Since running third in his career debut back in April of 2016, Arrogate (1-5 in the morning line odds) has been unbeatable. He comes into the San Diego Handicap with a seven-race win streak, the last four of those in Grade 1 stakes events.

The last three of those - the 2016 Breeders' Cup Classic, the 2017 Pegasus World Cup, and the 2017 Dubai World Cup - just happen to be the three largest purses for thoroughbred racing in the world, and in winning those he has pushed his career earnings to a record $17 million. 

A four-year-old Kentucky bred by multiple-graded stakes winner Unbridled's Song, Arrogate typically employs a perfect stalking style, using his natural early speed to sit just off the pace setters, before swallowing them up as the field turns for home and accelerating away down the stretch.

Under regular rider Mike Smith, you can expect him to run that exact kind of race here as well. Trainer Baffert has also entered Cat Burglar (10-1 ) in the race, and he'll likely be asked to go to the lead and set an honest pace for Arrogate to run at, and then get out of the way of his more highly regarded stablemate.

A Little Hope For The Rest of The Field

Given the level of competiton he has previously beaten, it's difficult to see Arrogate faltering here. He will be carrying high-weight of 126 pounds, giving up up 11 pounds to a couple of the others, but he has won at longer distances under the same weights, so even that is of little hope for the rest of the field. Unless something catastrophic happens, expect him to win this going away. 

    View All Sports Betting Sites

    That leaves all of the rest running for second place. Among the field, only Accelerate at 8-1 is under double digits in the ML odds. Also a four-year-old Kentucky bred, he's trained by California-based John Sadler and ridden by Victor Espinoza, the jockey for American Pharoah when that one captured the 2015 Triple Crown

    Acccelerate has been competitive at the graded-stakes level, with a Grade 2 win on his resume last year, when he also ran third in the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile. He's only finished out of the money once in his 11-race career, but he's been light on wins, having run second/third in his last five tries.

    Along with Cat Burglar, it's likely that El Huerfano (12-1) will be the other runner that goes straight to the front and tries to hang on as long as he can. A veteran California-bred making his 28th career start, he's never been better than fourth at the graded-stakes level. He's taking a big step up in class, and a minor reward is probably the best that can be expected of him. 

    Another with graded-stakes experience but no graded-stakes wins is the Doug O'Neill-trained Donworth (10-1). A well-bred colt sired by Hall of Famer Tiznow, he'll be making just his second start of 2017, last out running fourth in the (G3) Precisionist Stakes at Santa Anita.

    He showed good early speed in that event and was just edged out late for third at the same 1 1/16 mile distance he'll be going on Saturday. With that tune-up under his saddle, he could be expected to move up under jockey Mario Guiterrez.

    Rounding out the field, Florida-bred Dalmore (20-1) will break from the outside gate under jockey Kent Desormeaux and his trainer brother Keith. A four-year-old gelding, he did win the (G3) Affirmed Stakes at Santa Anita last year, but he has been winless in seven starts since then, finishing out of the money in his last three.

    Given the makeup of the field, the best betting play might be simply to use Arrogate as a single key in multi-race wagers, and on top in trifectas and superfectas. The San Diego Handicap goes Saturday July 22 from Del Mar Race Track. Post time is 6:10 PM Pacific and you can bet the day of the race through Today's Tracks at Bovada, or one of out other top-rated online racebooks.

    San Diego Handicap Entries w/ ML Odds

    1. Accelerate (8-1)
    2. El Huerfano (12-1) 
    3. Arrogate (1-5)
    4. Donworth (10-1)
    5. Cat Burglar (10-1)
    6. Dalmore (20-1)

    BABB Picks

    • 1st - Arrogate
    • 2nd - Accelerate
    • 3rd - Donworth
    • 4th - El Huerfano

    Category : Betting Picks

    Tag : Arrogate San Diego , San Diego Handicap Entries , San Diego Handicap Odds

    More articles...
    Betting Picks - 18/01/22
    Australian Open 2022 Betting Picks - Mens & Women's Winners 
    Australian Open 2022 Betting Picks - Mens & Women's Winners

    The first Grand Slam tournament of 2022 is upon us and without the world's number one Novak Djokovic, it's a wide-open field for the men's game.

    It's also the first Grand Slam for Naomi Osaka since her troubles last year, and with no Serena Williams either all the women will feel they have a chance to secure the first major of the season.

    We'll take a look at the best bets for the Australian Open tournament that ends next weekend and see if we can earn you some extra cash from the tournament.

    Betting Picks - 12/01/22
    NFL Wildcard Playoffs 2022 Betting Picks 
    NFL Wildcard Playoffs 2022 Betting Picks

    We're into the business end of the season now as the NFL Wildcard round is upon us with some high-stakes games to be played this weekend.

    Those games include a huge game between the San Francisco 49ers as they take on the Dallas Cowboys, while the New England Patriots will look to overcome the odds and reach the playoffs by beating Buffalo Bills.

    Let's take a look at the best betting picks for these two games and see if we can earn you some cash from these exciting football games.

    Betting Picks - 07/01/22
    UFC 270 Betting Picks - Ciryl Gane Slight Favourite to Beat Francis Ngannou 
    UFC 270 Betting Picks - Ciryl Gane Slight Favourite to Beat Francis Ngannou

    The UFC is back for 2022 and the first numbered card of the year is headlined by the top two heavyweights in the world as undisputed champion Francis Ngannou takes on interim champion Ciryl Gane.

    Live from the Honda Centre in Anaheim, California on January 20th, the two most feared men in the organization will go head-to-head in a five-round war to crown the undisputed best heavyweight in the world right now.

    We'll take a look at the betting odds for the bout and see what picks we can find to earn you some bonus cash for the new year.

    Betting Picks - 07/01/22
    NFL 2021 Week 18 Betting Picks 
    NFL 2021 Week 18 Betting Picks

    The NFL is back once again for Week 18 and there are some stellar matchups for fans to sink their teeth into at the start of the new year.

    Among them will see the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, without Antonio Brown after last week's walk-out, take on the Carolina Panthers, while we'll also see Washington go head-to-head with the New York Giants.

    Let's take a look at the best bets for those big games and see if we can get you some extra cash for the new year after the holidays.