UFC 268: Usman Favourite to Beat Covington Again

UFC 268: Usman Favourite to Beat Covington Again

UFC 268 Main card

  • Kamaru Usman (-320) vs Colby Covington (+270)
  • Rose Namajunas (-108) vs Weili Zhang (-112)
  • Justin Gaethje (-215) vs Michael Chandler (+185)
    Shane Burgos (-190) vs Billy Quarantillo (+165)
  • Frankie Edgar (+150) vs Marlon Vera (-175)

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Kamaru Usman vs Colby Covington

Absolute banger headlines this card as the two best welterweights in the world go head-to-head once more to decide who the champion is.

Usman is on an 18-fight winning streak currently, undefeated in the UFC, and defeated Covington in their first meeting back in December 2019 via a fifth-round knockout. Covington bounced back from that defeat with a dominant TKO win over Tyron Woodley in September 2020 and has been granted a title shot after Usman defeated all contenders in front of him.

This is a bout that is likely to settle a long-running feud between the two, which stems back to before Usman was ever even the champion of the division.

Back Usman to do it again!

Usman is currently without a doubt the number one pound-for-pound fighter in the world and rightfully sits at the top of those rankings in the UFC.

His wrestling is unmatched in the division and he has seen a huge upturn in his striking abilities since switching gyms and joining Trevor Wittman. His newfound hands have seen him earn knockout wins over Gilbert Burns and then Jorge Masvidal in his two most recent title defenses.

Covington is a brilliant pressure fighter with incredible cardio, superb wrestling, and powerful striking in his hands too. The issue he came up against in the first bout with Usman was the fact that he was able to match him in all those aspects.

Usman Broke Covington's Jaw

Usman actually broke Covington's jaw in the third round of their first fight, but going into the fifth and final round the judges had the scorecards level meaning the knockout proved vital for the defending champion.

Because of the way that fight went Covington is unlikely to want to stand and trade in the center of the cage again, especially considering Usman has greatly improved in that department since their fight.

That means he's likely to try and wrestle, which will be interesting considering there wasn't a single takedown attempt from either fighter in their first bout despite both guys being primary grapplers.

Unfortunately for Covington, Usman has improved even more since their first fight and while Covington is probably the closest thing to his equal in the division it just isn't enough. Usman got a stoppage in the first fight and the 'Nigerian Nightmare' to win inside the distance again is a lovely +115 to earn yourself a bit of extra change.

Kamaru Usman to win inside the distance

Rose Namajunas vs Weili Zhang

The co-main event is a super fun women's strawweight fight and will feature the two most recent champions in the division's history.

These two met at UFC 261 in April and 'Thug' Rose was able to earn a first-round knockout win thanks to a brilliant head-kick that turned the lights out on her opponent, snapping Zhang's 21-fight win streak in the process.

It's the second time that Namajunas has earned the title, previously defeating Joanna Jedrzejczyk in 2017 before losing the belt via a violent slam by Jessica Andrade in only her second defense. It's been a long road back after over a year away to find her love for the sport again, but at her best Namajunas is one of the best 115lbs fighters on the planet.

Back 'Thug' Rose to retain

Both of these women are excellent strikers and while Zhang excels in the wrestling department, Namajunas' jiu-jitsu is a brilliant counter to that with exactly half of her career wins coming via submission.

Zhang is a truly explosive fighter who has an excellent wrestling arsenal, which she makes look to use more in this first fight following her knockout loss last time out. She is by far the more physically imposing fighter and may use that to grind away at Namajunas and slow her down.

We saw in the first fight between these two that Namajunas has the speed advantage and has the power to knock her out, while she is also the more experienced fighter when it comes to fighting on the grandest stage of them all.

Namajunas is a slight underdog coming into this one but if you want to lengthen her odds ever so slightly more, back her to win the fight on the judge's scorecards this time at +285 to earn extra cash for your pocket.

Rose Namajunas to win on points