Premier League Picks Week 18
City On To A 16th Consecutive Victory
Manchester City won their 15th consecutive game in midweek when they trounced Swansea City in Wales by four goals to nil. While Swansea look dead and buried this season, City still turned on the style and if I am being honest, they look unstoppable.
City welcome Tottenham Hotspur to their stadium this weekend and it should be victory number 16 on the spin. As mentioned, City look unbeatable while Spurs have not won any of their last six away games against the so-called “Big Six” rivals. Everything points to City taking all three points.
Bovada think the same way as I do and have priced a City win at -200 with Spurs at +475 and the draw at +350. The last four meetings in Manchester have resulted in 18 goals for an average of 4.5 goals per game. This makes the -180 on their being over 2.5 goals look like the steal of the month.
I also like the look of a City 3-1 victory because Spurs are missing key defenders and no longer look rock solid at the back. Regardless of the result, this should be a highly entertaining game to watch as a neutral.
Manchester United Take on Struggling West Brom
City’s Manchester rivals, united, are now +2000 to win the league, but despite these long odds, they are second favorites. United head to West Bromiwch Albion on Sunday priced at -185 to win, with West Brom outsiders at +500 and the unlikely draw coming in at +290.
West Brom are without a win since their 1-0 away win at Burnley on the second week of the season and they look like a team destined for the dreaded drop into the Championship. Alan Pardew has taken over at The Hawthorns and has instilled a bit more confidence in defence, but the Baggies still lack a legitimate goal threat, which against the tight United defense is going to be an issue.
I can see United coming away with all three points and keeping a clean sheet. A 1-0 win is +525 with 2-0 available at +600. United to keep a clean sheet is +100 and that is an absolute steal with all factors considered. I may have to lump on this market because there is no way West Brom will breach Jose Mourinho’s excellent defense.
The Gunners to Shoot Down the Magpies
Arsenal entertain Newcastle United in a game that is only ever going to have one outcome: a home win. Arsenal slipped up and lost 3-1 at home to Manchester United on December 2 to halt their 12-match winning streak, but they have still won seven of their eight home games this season.
In that game, The Gunners dominated every single statistic apart from the goals tally and if they can perform even half as well against Newcastle, all three points should be theirs.
Newcastle could drop into the bottom three places if they lose to Arsenal and other results do not go their way. This is a stark contrast to a month ago when they were challenging for a European place at the top end of the table.
Rafa Benitez’ men look devoid of confidence and cannot seem to pick up points. Since winning 1-0 at home to Crystal Palace on Octover 21, Newcastle have played eight games, drawing one and losing seven. This is relegation form if ever I saw it.
With this in mind, do not be tempted to get on the +1000 for a Newcastle win because you’d be setting fire to your money. Arsenal at -400 doesn’t look like value unless you’re prepared to bet big. Instead, look at the -1.5 spread on Arsenal at -140 or a 2-0 Arsenal victory at +650. Either of those bets has the potential to yield profits.
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