Mon 13/11/2017 - 10:07 EST

Dolphins Swimming Upstream Against Panthers

Dolphins Swimming Upstream Against Panthers

Panthers Letting Cam Be Cam

The 6-2 Carolina Panthers are riding a two-game winning streak as they play host to the reeling 4-4 Miami Dolphins on Monday Night Football, and the reason for their success seems obvious.

The Panthers have finally figured out that the path to victory is to simply put the offense in the hands of their quarterback and let Cam Newton be Cam Newton. Will it be enough to extend their winning streak? Let's analyze Monday's match-up, based on odds provided by Bovada.

Miami Dolphins (+310) at Carolina Panthers (-420)

cam

Monday's game figures to be an evening at the improv when the ball is in Carolina's hands. Even though the Panthers finally appear ready to roll with rookie Christian McCaffrey as their go-to running back, the odds of him gaining significant yardage against Miami's seventh-ranked rushing defense, which allows 94 yards per game, are slim.

To emphasize how much it's become Cam's team, Newton has actually been Carolina's leading rusher in each of the last four games, something he didn't even accomplish during his 2015 MVP campaign. It's all part of the all-Cam, all the time approach the Panthers are adopting. Newton is their secret weapon, their X-factor, and they must deploy him as such in order to keep the Miami defense off balance and at bay.

Expect running plays featuring Newton, and plenty of quick, short play-action passing utilizing Newton as a decoy and with everyone getting in on the act on the other end of the ball, including McCaffrey, who is capable of breaking a big play off a pass out of the backfield. 

My Team's Next MatchMiami Dolphins

While Miami's recent record head to head record against the Panthers is glimmering, there are other variables attached to this contest involving the Dolphins that give off much less of a sheen. They are 3-13-1 against the spread in their last 17 prime time appearances, and they've gone 1-10 in their last 11 road games when they've faced an opponent with a winning record.

For Dolphins, they've preferred to operate more like crabs, opting to dig themselves a hole right from the opening kickoff. They were down 17 points in their game against the Atlanta Falcons and trailed the New York Jets by as much as 14 points. In the long run, that sort of strategy is the opposite of winning football, because playing from behind limits the scope of a team's playbook and playing from behind on the road almost always leads to a fatal outcome.

jay

Miami's rushing offense is already 30th in the NFL (77.6 yards per game), so add in the factor of surrendering an early lead and the chances of moving the ball on the ground become miniscule. It forces QB Jay Cutler to the air early and often. He attempted 42 passes in last week's loss to the Oakland Raiders, and while he garnered 311 yards and three TDs in passing offense, it was mainly because the Dolphins were playing catch-up all day.

That's an even worse formula against a Carolina defense that has sacked the quarterback 29 times, second most in the NFL, and you can bet the likes of Luke Kuechly and Julius Peppers will be salivating at the thought that they'll be able to tee off and go full-steam ahead after the fragile Cutler, who only recently returned under center from broken ribs. 

It all adds up to another long day for the Dolphins. The Panthers will win outright but they won't cover the nine-point spread. Take Carolina straight up, go with the Dolphns to beat the spread, and play the over.

Carolina (-420), over (38.5, -110) Play

Category : Betting Picks

Tag : cam newton , Christian McCaffrey , jay cutler , julius peppers , Luke Kuechly , Monday Night Football Picks | Beabetterbettor.com's Best Odds Picks for Week 10

More articles...
Betting Picks - 27/07/21
F1: Verstappen And Red Bull Poised To Halt Mercedes' Rule 
F1: Verstappen And Red Bull Poised To Halt Mercedes' Rule

Let's have a look at the current F1 2021 futures picks.

Betting Picks - 20/07/21
NFL: Odds And Picks For 2021 NFL Regular Season Awards 
NFL: Odds And Picks For 2021 NFL Regular Season Awards

The NFL regular season isn't far away from its 2021 kickoff. Game lines are already posted for Week 1 of the regular season, as are Super Bowl future book and player prop betting lines. Player awards lines are also out. Who will be the 2021 NFL MVP? The Defensive Player of the Year? Odds on these and all other 2021 regular-season NFL awards are posted at the top online sports betting sites.

Betting Picks - 13/07/21
MLB: Does Baseball’s July 4 Theory Still Hold True? 
MLB: Does Baseball’s July 4 Theory Still Hold True?

For as long as there's been pitchers, catchers and hitters, there's also been a theory that being is first place on July 4 is vital if a victory is the objective of a team in the MLB World Series odds. Is there are validity to this theory, though? Should baseball bettors buy into it? Are they to be putting their future book World Series wagers on teams that were atop their division on July 4?

Betting Picks - 13/07/21
Haskell Invitational A Key Breeders’ Cup Prep Race 
Haskell Invitational A Key Breeders’ Cup Prep Race

By invitation only, the Haskell at Monmouth rates behind only the Triple Crown races in stature for this age group. A victory in the Haskell Invitational guarantees the winning horse entry into the season-ending Breeders' Cup championship races.