Matt Pitt | Sat 16/06/2018 - 22:00 EDT

Germany vs Mexico Odds

Germany vs Mexico Odds
Mexico may have a strong World Cup heritage but that will count for nothing when they come up against the might of reigning champions Germany. Germany are priced at -225 to beat Mexico, with a Mexico win available at +650 and the draw being +350. Germany brushed Mexico aside 4-1 in the FIFA Confederations Cup in June 2017 and it would not surprise us to see a similar scoreline when the two sides meet again.

Germany vs Mexico World Cup Odds

My Team's Next MatchGermany

Germany take on Mexico at the Olimpiyskiy Stadium in Moscow on Sunday 17th May at 16:00 local time and it will be the first time we have seen the Germans in a competitive game wince the World Cup qualifying campaign ended.

Germany vs Mexico Prediction

Germany/Germany +120 Bet Now

Mexico may have a strong World Cup heritage but that will count for nothing when they come up against the might of reigning champions Germany. Germany are priced at -225 to beat Mexico, with a Mexico win available at +650 and the draw being +350. Germany brushed Mexico aside 4-1 in the FIFA Confederations Cup in June 2017 and it would not surprise us to see a similar scoreline when the two sides meet again.

Backing Germany with a -1 spread at -130 looks to be a steal; if you think it will be the same 4-1 score Bovada will give you odds of +2200.  Mexico have enough talent to worry the Germans, yet the +120 available for Germany-Germany in the Half Time/ Full Time market looks like superb value.

Germany vs Mexico Key Bites

  • Germany won one, drew three and lost two of its World Cup warm-up matches
  • Thomas Muller only needs 10 more caps to reach 100 international appearances
  • Twenty-one different players scored for Germany during qualification; the side has goals in it
  • Ten of Mexico’s previous 12 games have had under 2.5 goals; eight have had under 1.5 goals
  • Javier Hernandez is Mexico’s biggest goal threat

The current World Cup champions have played friendlies against England, France, Spain and Brazil and came away with three draws and a narrow 1-0 defeat (to Brazil) but the masters of tournament soccer should be firing on all cylinders by the time the World Cup kicks off.

Germany have not finished lower than third-place in the previous four World Cups and it would take a brave bettor to bet against them continuing this impressive record.

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Germany vs Mexico Betting Trends


  • Germany were the pre tournament favorites to win the 2018 World Cup with Bovada pricing them at +450.
  • Germany has qualified for the World Cup finals on 19 occasions.
  • The Germans have reached the semi-finals 13 times and eight finals.
  • Germany has not finished lower than the quarter-finals since 1978.
  • Germany has won the World Cup four times, most recently in 2014 meaning they are the reigning champions.
  • Germany has never lost to Mexico, enjoying two wins and three draws in their previous five encounters.
  • Germany beat Mexico 4-1 in the Confederations Cup in June 2017 in Russia.
  • Germany stormed UEFA Group C during qualifying, winning all 10 of their games. The Germans scored 43 goals and conceded only four in those 10 matches.
  • Thomas Muller and Sandro Wagner both scored five goals during qualifying and were joint top scorers of the group.
  • Germany’s World Cup record reads 106 games played, 66 win, 20 draws and 20 defeats. They have scored 224 goals and conceded 121 goals.


  • This is the 16th World Cup Mexico has qualified for.
  • Mexico reached the World Cup quarter-finals in 1970 and 1986, their best ever achievement.
  • Mexico has qualified for every World Cup since 1990 but has not progressed past the Round of 16 in any of those tournaments.
  • Mexico’s World Cup record reads 53 games, 14 wins, 14 draws and 25 defeats. They have scored 57 goals and conceded 92 during those matches.
  • Mexico finished third in the 2017 CONCACAF Championship & Gold Cup and were the semi-finalists of the FIFA Confederations Cup.
  • Mexico progressed from the CONCACAF Fifth Round as champions. They won six, drew three and lost one of their 10 games, scoring 16 goals and conceding seven.
  • Winger Herving Lozana was Mexico’s top scorer during this qualifying stage with three goals.

Germany vs Mexico World Cup Preview

Germany sailed through qualification for the 2018 World Cup with 10 victories from their 10 games and became on the second team in history to achieve this after Spain in 2010. Although the Germans tend not to play with a traditional out and out striker, their entire squad has the ability to score goals.

No fewer than 21 different players scored for Germany during qualification and they racked up an impressive 43 goals between them. If you manage to stop the likes of Thomas Muller and Sandro Wagner from scoring, there are several other Germans queuing up to put the ball in the net.

Bovada make Germany the joint favorites with Brazil with odds of +400, this despite a poor run of form during the Germans’ warm-up matches. Draws against England, Spain and Brazil were followed by back-to-back defeats at the hands of Brazil and Austria then a 2-1 win over Saudi Arabia.

The Germans are usually rock solid in defense yet they have managed only one clean sheet in their previous eight games and have allowed football minnows such as Azerbaijan, Northern Ireland and Saudi Arabia to score against them.

It is worth noting that the Germans are experts when it comes to tournament football and you can bet your bottom dollar that they will be the team to beat once the referee blows the whistle and the 2018 World Cup begins for Die Mannschaft.

You should also be aware that Germany hammered Mexico 4-1 at the 2017 Confederations Cup despite fielding what would be considered a second string team.

Results / FixturesGermany

Mexico coach Juan Carlos Osorio will have to get his tactics spot on if his team are to have any chance of avoiding defeat in their opening group game of the 2018 World Cup in Russia. Osorio is always thorough in his planning but sometimes that planning goes wrong, as was evident by Mexico’s 4-1 defeat to Germany in 2017 and a 7-0 mauling by Chile.

The Mexicans have been struggling for form during the warm-up matches. There were wins against Poland, Bosnia, Scotland and Iceland, the latter being a 3-0 demolition, draws against Belgium and Wales plus defeats to Croatia and Denmark.

A worrying statistic for fans of Mexico is their lack of goals over the past 12 months. While they managed to score three goals in games against El Salvador, Belgium and Iceland, 10 of Mexico’s previous 12 games have finished with under 2.5 goals with eight of those having fewer than 1.5 goals.

Mexico do have the players to trouble Germany, but it depends if they turn up on the day. In Javier Hernandez they have a superb poacher who only needs half a chance, while Hirving Lozano enjoyed a superb debut season for PSV Eindhoven.

Germany should be too strong for Mexico, even taking into consideration Germany’s patchy recent form. The three draws Germany were held to during their warm-up matches came against England, France and Brazil and Mexico are not as good as any of those sides.

Bovada prices a Germany win with a -0.5 spread at +105 and this looks like a great bet to make and much better value than the -210 on a straight win. Mexico will likely try to keep this game tight and hope for a draw, instead targeting the weaker teams in the group, but if you invite the Germans to attack they will eventually destroy you.

Consider taking Germany and under 3.5 goals at +110 if you want something slightly different to bet on.

Results / FixturesWorld Cup

Category : Betting Picks

Tag : Soccer , World cup

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