NFL Picks Week 4: Cleveland Browns favorites to beat Atlanta Falcons

NFL Picks Week 4: Cleveland Browns favorites to beat Atlanta Falcons

A wonderful NFL season continues into week 4 this week as we start to weed out the contenders from the pretenders.

In a highly entertaining season so far, this week we'll look at three games involving the Minnesota Vikings taking on the New Orleans Saints, the Buffalo Bills clash with the Baltimore Ravens and the Cleveland Browns facing off with the Atlanta Falcons.

We'll break down each game, give you our best free NFL betting picks, and see if we can earn you some extra cash for the end of the weekend.

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Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints - 10/2, 9:30am ET

The Vikings have had a mixed start to the season in the opening three weeks, going 2-1 in their opening games so far. They claimed a 23-7 win over the Green Bay Packers on the opening weekend before a thumping 24-7 defeat to the Philadelphia Eagles in week 2.

Last weekend they put on a show against the Detroit Lions in the fourth quarter, scoring 14 unanswered points to come from behind and claim a 28-24 win.

The Saints on the other hand have been less successful, going 1-2 in their opening games of the season. The claimed victory in the opening game of the season when they claimed a 27-26 win over the Atlanta Falcons, but since then it's gone left for them.

They suffered a dominant defeat to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20-10 in week 2, and then last week failed to bounce back against the Carolina Panthers when they were beaten 22-14.

Back Vikings to cover the spread

NFL in London is set to commence Sunday morning at 9:30 a.m. ET as the Saints, the designated home team, will host the Vikings.

While the Saints are a solid team, they will enter this match light at wide receiver with both Michael Thomas (toe) and Jarvis Landry (foot) missing the game through injury The Vikings could also be without a key offensive player in Dalvin Cook, who is nursing a shoulder problem.

Despite injuries on either side, the Vikings are entering this game as the better football team, managing to win last week without a lot of help from Justin Jefferson with other components of the offense stepping up, showing versatility.

Expect this game to come down to the wire. Both Jameis Winston and Kirk Cousins can keep up with each other in a slugfest and it will be close whichever way it goes.

The favorite is 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings between the Vikings and Saints, so go with the Vikings to cover here.

NFL picks: Minnesota Vikings -3 @ +100

Minnesota Vikings -3 to beat New Orleans Saints

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Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens - 10/2, 13:00 ET

The Bills started the season in impressive fashion with back-to-back dominant wins, beating the Los Angeles Rams 31-10 in the season opener before a 41-7 win over the Tennessee Titans.

However their start came to an abrupt end in week three, when Miami Dolphins pipped them to claim a 21-19 win last time out.

Baltimore have shown great promise this season and will come into this game with a 2-1 record. They claimed high-scoring wins over the New York Jets (24-9) in week one and then a 37-26 win over New England Patriots in week three.

There was a defeat sandwiched between those victories though, as they suffered a 42-38 loss to the Miami Dolphins in week 2.

Back Buffalo to cover the spread

This is potentially an early season preview to the AFC Championship game later in the season. This Week 4 matchup will be a test for both teams who have one thing in common: their only loss has come to the Dolphins.

What gives the Ravens a slight advantage is that they are playing at home. However, the Bills will surely pack too much of an offensive punch for the Baltimore offense to overcome when it is all said and done.

Lamar Jackson can keep up with Josh Allen undoubtedly, however when it comes to which defense can make a game-altering play, I will side with the Bills. Their pass-rush will be key, especially if Ronnie Stanley is forced to miss the game with his ankle problem.

The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings between the Bills and Ravens. That is a trend that I expect will be maintained in Week 4.

NFL picks: Buffalo Bills -3 @ -110

Buffalo Bills -3 to beat Baltimore Ravens

Cleveland Browns vs Atlanta Falcons - 10/2/22, 13:00 ET

The Browns have had a terrific start to the season so far with a 2-1 record, but their performances have been excellent.

They claimed a 26-24 win over the opening weekend against the Carolina Panthers and also beat the Pittsburgh Steelers in week 3 with a 29-17 victory, but suffered a close 31-30 defeat against the New York Jets in week 2.

The Falcons on the other hand had a stinker to start the season when they were beaten 27-26 by the Saints and 31-27 by the Rams in the opening two games. However they finally got on the winning trail last week when they earned a 27-23 win over the Seattle Seahawks.

Back Cleveland on the moneyline

Deceptively, this game features two of the NFL’s best offenses. Led by Jacoby Brissett and Marcus Mariota, the Browns’ offense is ranked sixth in points (28.3) while the Falcons are ranked ninth (26.7).

This is a game that will come down to which defense can make a key stop or a turnover. The Falcons’ defense has five takeaways while the Browns have logged three. And backed by the loud home crowd in Atlanta, the Falcons will feel confident of getting the job done.

But the Browns will be keen to keep their good form going and stop the Falcons from building momentum, so I'd take the favorites to claim a win on the moneyline here.

NFL picks: Cleveland Browns moneyline @ -120

Cleveland Browns to beat Atlanta Falcons

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