The NASCAR season finally comes to an end this weekend when the 2022 champion will be crowned at the end of the final race in Avondale, Arizona.
The final four drivers in the hunt for the title are Joey Logano, Chase Elliott, Christopher Bell and Ross Chastain, and all four sit at the top of the betting odds for the final race too, with the whole NASCAR world expecting them to dominate.
But who will win it? We'll take a look at the race and break down each driver to provide you with our best free NASCAR picks to see if we can earn you some extra cash ahead of the holiday season.
|NASCAR Championship Race
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NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race information
- NASCAR Cup Series Championship race
- Phoenix Raceway, Avondale, Arizona
- Sunday, November 6th 2022
- 15:00 ET
- Live on NBC
Chase Elliott (+225)
Elliott won the Cup Series in 2020 and is back in the driver's seat for the 2022 title odds after having led the points standings for nearly four months.
With his HMS teammate Kyle Larson struggling to match his 2021 form — and being eliminated from the playoff race a few weeks ago — Elliott has five victories so far in this season along with multiple top-ten finishes, with his most recent win coming a month ago at Talladega Superspeedway.
Elliott is the odds favorite on betting sites despite limping into the finale on the heels of four consecutive double-digit finishes, the most recent a 10th-place run at Martinsville.
He’s been very good at Phoenix as of late, with four finishes of seventh or better in his last five starts on the Desert Mile, a span that includes a victory in 2020. But this unpredictable season has not been good to odds favorites—none have won since Kyle Larson at Fontana, back in the second race of the year, so you'll probably be better off avoiding him.
NASCAR picks: Avoid
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Christopher Bell (+375)
Christopher Bell has made one hell of a playoff push, winning two of the last four races with three other top five finishes since the start of the playoffs to go with it.
He has three wins among 19 top ten finishes this season and has as good a chance as anyone to take the crown this weekend.
With all odds being the same, the best driver is the best bet. That driver is Christopher Bell.
Bell has been the best driver in the best car for nearly all of this season. The Dietrich Data scoring system has rated Bell as the best driver in NASCAR since May. Some might be shocked to see Bell in the championship, but you shouldn't be.
His analytical superiority is regularly mentioned in the racing world and Bell is far and beyond the best driver this season when it comes to the short, flat tracks.
Bell won at New Hampshire. He nearly won at Richmond. And he won last week at Martinsville. He’s great at short, flat tracks and he’s won two do-or-die playoff races. This is another and not his first at Phoenix.
In 2018, Bell had to win at Phoenix to make the Xfinity Series Championship. He won that race despite starting 38th. He has the talent and the car, and this is his favorite type of track
Bell earned his way into the title round by winning at Martinsville, his second victory in four weeks. In five career Phoenix starts, his best finish is ninth. Back him to get it done once more.
NASCAR picks: Back Bell to win
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Joey Logano (+450)
Joey Logano is also among the remaining four drivers and has been hot on Elliot's tail for the last few weeks.
The 2018 Cup Series champion has three wins on the season, with the third victory coming three weekends ago at the South Point 400 in Vegas.
Logano punched his ticket to the title round with a victory three weeks ago at Las Vegas, and finished sixth at Martinsville.
Among the four drivers remaining in contention for the title, Logano easily has the best track record at Phoenix—two wins, the most recent in 2020, and top-10 finishes in six of his last seven starts.
And like Elliott, he has the experience of claiming a title in this format by winning the season’s final race.
Ross Chastain (+500)
Quite simply, no member of the Championship 4 is running better right now than Chastain, who has rediscovered his early-season form with top-four finishes in his last four races on oval tracks.
His up-against-the-wall, final-lap Hail Mary at Martinsville was awesome to watch and showed he’s willing to dent some sheet metal to get the job done.
While his no-holds-barred style may rub some other drivers the wrong way, it’s perfectly suited to a winner-take-all final race. He's great value at +500 and definitely shouldn't be ruled out after his phenomenal finish to a race last weekend.