Brent Sedo | Tue 17/10/2017 - 16:06 EDT

Breeders' Cup Turf Odds: Preview And Future Bets

Breeders' Cup Turf Odds: Preview And Future Bets

While not the biggest historic win payday of the Breeders' Cup races, with the last 10 races producing average odds of +700 for the winner, it's also worth noting that only one heavy favorite has won the Turf over that time. Seven times in 32 years European horses have swept the top 3 spots in the Turf, although American-breds have had a decent showing recently, winning four of the last 10 Turf races.   

Breeders Cup Turf Odds

Highland Reel - Irish-bred colt was the 2016 BC Turf winner over a very strong field at odds of +400. Has run in all three of the biggest races in the UK this past summer and has two Group 1 wins to show for it. 

Ulysses - Another Irish-bred, was fourth in this race last year, and since then has finished in the money in six consecutive Group-level races in the UK and France, with two Group 1 wins.

Cracksman - Three-year-old UK bred has won four of six lifetime, but would be facing older horses for the first time. Hasn't started a race since mid-September and not yet declared for the Breeders' Cup.

Cloth Of Stars - Yet another from Ireland, he's done most of his racing in France, and started 2017 with three straight wins before running 2nd in his last two. Not yet declared for the Breeders' Cup.

Beach Patrol - Somewhat under-the-radar colt is sneaky good, and comes into the BC Turf off two very solid wins against the top US runners in the (G1) Joe Hirsch and (G1) Arlington Million stakes. 

Oscar Performance - Won the BC Juvenile Turf last year, got off to a slow start for 2017 but has been very good lately, reeling off three straight wins in June, July and August before getting beaten out of 2nd by a nose in the Joe Hirsch. 

So Mi Dar - Four-year-old filly won the first four races of her career, but was been well beaten in her last two, all against females, and is unlikely to be entered here.

Called To the Bar - Three-year-old Irish bred is lightly raced, with four starts in France including a Group 3 win. Came over to North America and prepped for the Breeders' Cup by running 2nd in the (G1) Belmont Derby Inviatational, but has not yet been declared for this race.

Frontiersman - Competitive colt has tried Group stakes five times with no wins, and three in-the-money finishes. A step below the best Euros, has not yet been declared for the Breeders' Cup.

Seventh Heaven - Irish filly ran fourth in the 2016 BC Filly & Mare Turf and will most likely run in that race again. Form has been very poor in her last two.

World Approval - Perhaps the top North American turf horse right now, but he's proven lately to be much better suited to the BC Mile and that's where he'll likely run. 

Idaho - Yet another in a slew of Irish-breds in here from the sire Galileo, he's tried North American racing three times and has yet to hit the board, although he's a two-time Group 2 winner in the UK. Not yet declared for the BC.

Sadler's Joy - His 4th place finish in the Joe Hirsch in his last start was the first time he missed the top 3 in nine starts. Prior to that he went last-to-first in the final 1/8 mile to win the 1 1/2 mile (G1) Sword Dancer.

Good Samaritan - Ran third in the BC Juvenile Turf last year bau has been trying dirt in his past three efforts, gaining a win in the (G2) Jim Dandy three starts back, was well beaten last race in his first try against older horses.  

2017 Breeders' Cup Turf Betting

The Breeders' Cup Turf is the second last race of the Breeders' Cup World Championships, on Saturday, November 4, from Del Mar race track. Scheduled post time is 7:37 PM Eastern. The field is restricted to 14 horses aged three and older, racing 1 1/2 miles on the turf for a purse of $4 million.


The Key Betting Trends

  • Post time favorites have finished second in four of the last five versions of the Turf
  • Highland Reel trainer Aiden O'Brien leads all trainers with six wins, three of last four
  • Twelve Irish-bred horses have won the turf, two of those twice
  • Fillies or mares have won the Turf three times, including Found in 2015


Future Bet Overlays

Expect a couple of the American-based horses to drop from their future bet odds by post time, with Beach Patrol going to single-digits, and Sadler's Joy sliding down a bit as well. Ulysses could be the favorite when the gates open.

Future Bet Underlays

Highland Reel could go up if Ulysses takes more Euro money, Idaho could be the longest shot on the board if he runs.

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Next: Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint Odds: Preview and Future Bets

Category : Betting Picks

Tag : Breeders Cup , Horse Racing

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