Breeders' Cup Filly And Mare Turf Odds: Preview And Future Bets
On the slate of Breeders' Cup races since 1999, the Filly & Mare Turf has previously been run at either 1 3/8 or 1 1/4 miles. However, due to the configuration of the Del Mar turf course, this year's race will go at the shorter 1 1/8, which is an important factor to consider when handicapping. One of the best betting races of the Breeders' Cup, the past ten winners have gone off at average odds of +1300, with only one favorite winning in that time.
Lady Eli - Won this race in 2014 and was second by a nose last year, she comes on a three-race winning streak, two of those in Grade 1 races. In 13 lifetime starts, she's won 10 and finished 2nd in the other three.
Rhododendron - Three-year-old Irish filly is a multiple Group-level winner. Recorded a Did Not Finish three starts back, and then ran poorly to finish 7th in her next, she redeemed herself last out with a Group 1 win at Chantilly.
Winter - Stock has been rising on this Irish filly all year. Although she was back in the pack going against males in the Group 1 l'Arc de Triomphe, she had four straight Group 1 wins to her name through the summer. Has not yet declared for the race.
Queens Trust - The winner of the race last year at +800, she has struggled in 2017, with no wins and one 3rd place finish in five starts. Not yet declared for the race.
Roly Poly - Kentucky bred filly has done almost all of her racing overseas, and has been on fire lately, winning three of her last four, all at the Group 1 level. Should love the firm Del Mar turf.
Sistercharlie - Lightly raced three year old was slowly moving up the ranks in France, with a Group 3 win and Group 2 2nd in five starts. Came over for the (G1) Belmont Oaks Invitational to run 2nd, beaten by a neck. Not yet declared for the Breeders' Cup.
Nezwaah - Inconsistent four-year-old UK mare has a Group 1 win to her name in 2017, but has been out of the money in her last two, including 5th last out the (G1) EP Taylor at Woodbine, which was run over very soft turf. Unlikely to start here.
Antonoe - Four-year-old Kentucky mare started her career in France, where she had trouble in Group level competition. Has spent this year racing stateside, and captured the (G1) Just A Game Stakes, but two efforts since then have been dull. Not yet declared for the Breeders' Cup.
Senga - Another Kentucky bred who has done all of her running in France, she did score a Group 1 win back in June, but has otherwise struggled at the highest level.
Ajman Princess - Versatile four-year-old Irish mare has been in the money in 10 of 12 lifetime starts and won a Group 1 two starts back, but she's never run this short and for that reason will likely not enter.
Shutter Speed - Lightly raced three year old started her career with three consecutive wins, but has been off the board in her last two, although the second of those was against colts as well as fillies and mares. Not yet declared for the Breeders' Cup.
New Money Honey - The 2016 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf winner looked good at mid-summer when she won two straight, including the (G1) Belmont Oaks Invitational. Tried dirt two starts back with no luck, but also faltered last out as the favorite running 6th in the (G1) QE II Challenge Cup on turf at Keeneland.
Grand Jete - Has the most North American experience among the Euro-breds with five US starts this year. Has been in the money in all five, with three wins and a 2nd and 3rd at the Grade 1 level.
Dacita - Six-year-old Chilean-bred has been racing in the US since 2015, and has been 1st or 2nd in eight of 11 starts in that time, with a pair of graded-stakes wins. She's another who may want a bit more distance.
2017 Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf Betting
The Filly & Mare Turf is race #4 of 9 on the second day of the Breeders' Cup, Saturday November 4 from Del Mar race track. Post time for the 1 1/8 mile race is set for 5:00 PM Eastern. The field is limited to 14 runners, and offers a total purse of $2 million.
The Key Betting Trends
- Eight of 10 past winners were at post time odds of +500 or higher
- Lady Eli, Dacita, Grand Jete trainer Chad Brown has won three times
- Other entries could include Hydrangea, War Flag, Avenge
- UK breds have won 11 of 17, higher percentage than any other BC race
Future Bet Overlays
Both Grand Jete and Dacita can be expected to take a huge drop from their future odds by post time, likely to as low as half or more of what is listed here. Roly Poly may shift down as well.
Future Bet Underlays
If they run, Queens Trust and Nezwaah are the two on the future bets list most likely to go up from these posted odds.
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