Boxing Canelo Alvarez vs Gennady Golovkin
Ever since Canelo Alvarez and Gennady Golovkin squared off in September, people have been waiting for a rematch. And now, after battling to a controversial draw last time around, they're getting their wish. In advance of the opening bell, we have all the odds and analysis you need to make an educated decision at the sportsbooks.
Even though you’ve had months to prepare for Canelo Alvarez-Gennady Golovkin rematch, chances are you’re not fully prepared. That’s how these things work, however, so there’s no need to worry. We’ve got your back with a complete guide to Saturday night’s highly anticipated bout. In this preview, we’ll cover:
- Betting lines
- A guide and explanation to those betting lines
- Other betting lines you need to know
- So much more!
Outright Odds For Alvarez vs. Golovkin
All lines for this match come courtesy of BetFair, and they are accurate as of Tuesday, September 12 unless otherwise cited. Always be sure to double-check these included odds before deciding on or placing a wager. They can and will change before the opening bell rings.
Outright Odds: Gennady Golovkin (+166) vs. Canelo Alvarez (+250)
It should come as no surprise that Gennady Golovkin enters as the moderate favorite over Saul “Canelo” Alvarez. While these two battled to a draw roughly one year ago, many had the matching going to Golovkin.
Sprinkle in the fact that Golovkin (38-0-1) has an 87 percent knockout (KO) average across all his bouts, and this structure is a no-brainer.
At the same time, you need to respect Alvarez. Not only did he go the distance with Golovkin the first time around, but Alvarez is eight years his junior, which should amount to better stamina.
Alternative Round Odds
Here’s how the alternative round odds have panned out for the Alvarez-Golovkin matchup:
- Gennady Golvkin victory between Rounds 1-6: +650
- Gennady Golvkin victory between Rounds 7-12: +500
- Canelo Alvarez victory between Rounds 1-6: +1500
- Canelo Alvarez victory between Rounds 7-12: +1400
As you can see oddsmakers, don’t really expect Alvarez to win late or early. But they’ve also placed more weight in Golovkin making his move late—which makes sense, given how long his previous two matches lasted.
Method of Victory Odds
Here are the odds for all the ways in which every fight might emerge victorious:
- Gennady Golovkin by Decision/Technical Decision: +290
- Gennady Golovkin by Knockout (KO)/Total Knockout (TKO)/Disqualification (DQ): +350
- Canelo Alvarez by Decision/Technical Decision: +290
- Canelo Alvarez by KO/TKO/DQ: +1000
- Draw or Technical Draw: +1700
These lines really drive home how close this fight is expected to be. Alvarez isn’t packing the power that Golovkin is, but he’s close enough in skill and craft that oddsmakers are fancying them equally likely to win by some form of decision.
Golovkin vs. Alvarez Analysis/Predictions
Will power win out in this fight, thus favoring Golovkin? Or will the slightly more versatile Alvarez prevail?
Prediction For Golovkin vs. Alvarez
From where we are standing, it seems like more respect should be attached to Alvarez’s name. A lot of people have soured on him because of his failed drug tests. The boxing community, after all, isn’t very forgiving.
But the age difference has to matter here. Never mind that Alvarez hasn’t been very active relative to others over the past year. He’s 28 to Golovkin 36. That’s a huuuge difference.
This fight probably won’t be determined by a knockout. If it does, you can bet on Golovkin’s glove speed and force being crowned the winner. But if it goes the distance, as many expect, it makes the most sense to invest in the younger, faster, twitchier Alvarez.
Our prediction: Canelo Alvarez by Decision/Technical Decision: +290