Brent Sedo | Sat 21/04/2018 - 05:23 EDT

2018 Kentucky Derby Contenders: Magnum Moon

2018 Kentucky Derby Contenders: Magnum Moon

Magnum Moon on the Kentucky Derby Leaderboard

After making his career debut in mid-January, Todd Pletcher-trained Magnum Moon made his stakes debut two races later, taking the (G2) Rebel Stakes at Oaklawn Park by 3 1/2 lengths over Solomini, who he'll face again in the Derby, and Combatant, who will need a withdrawal to get in. The Rebel win was worth 50 qualifying points. He then picked up another 100 points by winning the (G1) Arkansas Derby by four lengths over those two as well as Quip, who is 10th on the leaderboard. Magnum Moon's 150 points put him in first place in the final standings.  

Magnum Moon's Race Record

As mentioned, Magnum Moon only came to the races this year, and since making his debut he's had an evenly spaced scheduled of one race a month through January, February, March and April. He won his maiden race at Gulfstream Park by 4 1/2 lengths, and then captured an allowance event at Tampa Bay Downs by 2 lengths, racing just over one mile. He then stretched out to 1 1/16 miles for the Rebel win, and then 1 1/8 miles in the Arkansas Derby. He'll go into the Kentucky Derby with a perfect record of four wins in four starts.

Magnum Moon Pedigree

Magnum Moon's sire is Malibu Moon, who only raced twice in his career, getting a win and a runner-up finish. The first of those was at 4 1/2 furlongs, and the second at 5 furlongs. His grandsire (like several others in this year's Derby) is A.P. Indy, who won the 1 1/4 mile Breeders' Cup Classic and the 1 1/2 mile Belmont Stakes, both in 1992. Magnum Moon's dam is a mare named Macoumba, who won three of six races in Europe, all on the turf, including a one-mile Group 1 race. Her sire was Mr. Prospector, was finished in the money in all seven lifetime starts, mostly racing at one mile. 

Why Magnum Moon Can Win the Kentucky Derby

He has shown steady improvement through all four of his races, and in Arkansas he showed a new ability to get to the front early and carry his speed throughout the race, something that he's likely going to need to do in Kentucky. He has already soundly beaten at least two of his Derby rivals, including a Grade 2 winner in Quip. He has good ability to quicken as they turn into the stretch drive, and his last 1/8 mile in the Arkansas at 11.99 seconds was the fastest finishing 1/8 time of all five 1 1/8-mile prep races. 

Why Magnum Moon Can't Win the Kentucky Derby

Overall, the Arkansas Derby wasn't a fast race, and he had a fairly easy time clicking off slow fractions on the lead, something he won't get at Churchill Downs. On paper, he seriously lacks distance pedigree, and in the Arkansas he drifted way out wide after coming off the final turn with a comfortable lead, and that's often the sign of a horse reaching his distance limit. Only one of the two colts unraced at two in the Derby can be the one to break the "Apollo curse" and right now his rival Justify looks more formidable.

Magnum Moon Betting Odds

Bovada's online racebook has Magnum Moon as fourth choice in the betting at odds of 8-1, while most current racing analysts have him somewhere in the 6-1 range. Based on his top-place finish on the Kentucky Derby leaderboard, he's a candidate to take a lot of money from the large number of people who only ever bet the Derby, so he could be as low as 4-1.    

Rank Bonus SIGN UP BONUS Review Visit Site
1
2
3

See Also: Kentucky Derby Contenders: Good Magic

Category : Betting Picks

Tag : Bovada , Horse Racing

More articles...
Betting Picks - 17/01/20
NFL Conference Finals 2020: Chiefs Look To End Title Drought 

It's been a half century since the Kansas City Chiefs won the Super Bowl. In fact, it's been 50 years since the Chiefs went to the Super Bowl. But Kansas City is favored to get there this year. The Chiefs go into the AFC Championship Game as 7.5-point favorites over the Tennessee Titans. Meanwhile, the San Francisco 49ers are seven-point favorites over the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Championship Game.

Betting Picks - 17/01/20
Conor McGregor vs Donald Cerrone: The Notorious Returns To The Octagon 

Conor McGregor is poised to make his return to the octagon and to UFC. The former lightweight world champion is slated to fight Donald Cerrone in a welterweight bout as part of UFC 246 on Jan. 18 in Las Vegas. The Irish fighter hasn't been in a bout since he lost via submission to UFC lightweight (155 pound) champion Khabib Nurmagomedov. Cerrone, normally a lightweight, lost his last two fights.

Betting Picks - 07/01/20
National Championship 2020: A Clash Of The Tigers 

It's a certainty that the Tigers will again be the national champions of college football this season. That's because the No. 1-ranked 14-0 LSU Tigers are pitted against the third-ranked Clemson Tigers (14-0), in this years College Football Playoff title game. Clemson are the defending national champions and are playing in the national championship game for the fourth time in five years. Clemson won two of the last three titles.

Betting Picks - 16/12/19
NCAAF Bowl Game Odds: Will Crimson Tide See Red? 

While the College Football Playoff draws much of the attention in NCAA bowl season, there are still plenty of intriguing bowl game matchups over the holiday season that offer some value bets to be played. Showdowns such as the Rose Bowl, Cotton Bowl and Orange Bowl still carry a wealth of tradition and to win one of these famous games is a point of pride to the participating schools.