Boxing picks: Jake Paul favorite to beat Tommy Fury

Boxing picks: Jake Paul favorite to beat Tommy Fury

The long awaited, highly anticipated boxing grudge match between Jake Paul and Tommy Fury is finally upon us when these two fighters meet in the squared circle for the first time.

This is the third time the two fighters have been scheduled to clash, with Fury pulling out due to a rib injury and then because of travel issues the first two times, leading to a heated rivalry. Both men are undefeated, and neither believes they have a hope of losing this fight.

So what will happen? We take a look at both fighters and preview the bout, while providing you with our best free boxing picks to see if we can earn you some extra cash while watching a great scrap.

Jake Paul-180-175-169
Tommy Fury+150+145+122

Jake Paul vs Tommy Fury information

  • Sunday, February 26th, 2023
  • Diriyah Arena, Diriyah, Saudi Arabia
  • 185-pound catchweight fight
  • 8 x 3 minute rounds
  • Scheduled for 17:00 ET

Jake Paul vs Tommy Fury odds

  • Jake Paul - (-169)
  • Tommy Fury - (+150)

This fight is sure to be an exciting one, and that is clear in how closely matched the two are in the ring despite their very different experiences.

Paul has opened as the favorite this time around, coming in with a price of -169 with MyBookie sports betting, meaning you have to bet $169 to get a return of $100.

This is because he comes into the fight with a 6-0 professional record, including four knockouts. Most recently he claimed a close decision victory over mixed martial arts legend Anderson Silva in a fantastic bout, where he showed that he is capable of hanging in the ring with striking specialists.

His previous victories came over YouTuber AnEsonGib, former NBA star Nate Robinson, former MMA world champion Ben Askren and twice against former UFC champion Tyron Woodley.

This is the first time he'll be coming up against someone whose primary discipline is boxing, as he takes on the younger brother of world heavyweight champion Tyson Fury.

Tommy 'TNT' Fury is currently 8-0 professionally with four knockouts on his record too. He has previously beaten novices in the boxing world, with victories over Jevgenijs AndrejevsCallum Ide, Przemyslaw Binienda, Genadij Krajevskij, Scott Williams, Jordan Grant, Anthony Taylor and Daniel Bocianski most recently back in April 2022.

This will be the first time that Fury has ever had a fight scheduled to go longer that four rounds, and Paul will be the best fighter he has fought up to this point too.

If you believe he is the man to end "The Problem Child"s hype, then he is a best price of +150 with BetOnline sports betting, meaning a $100 bet will see a return of $150 profit.

Tommy Fury to beat Jake Paul

Check out our review for BetOnline sports betting here.

Jake Paul vs Tommy Fury preview

Paul is known for his erratic boxing style, which UFC star Tom Aspinall once branded “dangerous.” He takes risks, throws haymakers, and clearly has power, given that he has put four of his five opponents to sleep.

His biggest strength is undoubtedly his power left hand, which has caught the attention of the boxing world. One of Paul's biggest weaknesses is that you can usually see his power punches coming a mile off. His improvements since making his debut are absolutely clear though, and there is no doubting that he is far more ready to compete with Fury now than when they were originally scheduled to fight.

This is the first time that Paul will be at a reach disadvantage as TNT has an 80-inch reach, four inches longer than Paul’s. Typically, a boxer will know how to use that effectively and keep distance, while landing heavy when their opponent tries to enter the pocket.

Fury doesn’t have the quickest hands in the business and isn't most explosive puncher despite his nickname, while he has plenty of room for improvement when it comes to setting up his punches too. However, his step-in uppercut and his hooks inside are sharp and accurate and could help him catch Paul as he looks to attack the body as he usually does.

His defense in those moments isn't the greatest though, and if Paul can string together a combination that ends with his power left hand then there is every chance it lands flush.

Boxing picks: Jake Paul to win on points

There is no doubt that the duration of this fight favors Paul, and that is a massive factor in this prediction. It is an eight-round bout, and Fury has only done four rounds in the past.

In those four-round fights, he has slowed considerably towards the end and it appeared as though his punches were labored and nowhere near as effective, which could be a huge concern as we reach rounds 6, 7 and 8.

It would be silly to suggest that Paul is the better technical boxer, so the early exchanges are likely to see Fury control the range and tempo and have success. But as Paul pushes forward with pressure and the fight goes longer, he will start to land heavier shots and Fury's reaction will decide how this fight goes.

Momentum is big in boxing and with the latter rounds likely to go in Paul's favor, I think he'll be able to do enough to earn a big win on the scorecards and really get tongues wagging in the boxing world.

Jake Paul via Decision to beat Tommy Fury