The New England Patrios have owned the AFC East for more than a decade and a simple look at the odds to win the AFC East in 2016 indicates that the smart money doesn’t anticipate that situation changing. The Patriots are -200 to win the division, vastly lower odds than on the Buffalo Bills or New York Jets, both listed at +475, or the Miami Dolphins, the longest of long shots in the group at +900. The Patriots have won 12 of the last 13 AFC East titles, the only exception coming in 2008 when quarterback Tom Brady missed the enitre season due to injury.
But is there a chance at an upset this season? Brady is expected to miss the first four games of the 2016 season while under NFL suspension for his role in the deflategate scandal. But three of those four games that Brady will miss are home games and two of the four games are against teams that were .500 or worse during the 2015 season.
Uncertainty at the quarterback position for the New York Jets is what figures to hold them back after they lost the last game of the 2015 season to finish 10-6 and just miss out on a wildcard playoff position.
Journeyman Ryan Fitzpatrick turned in a career year after replacing Geno Smith, injured an an altercation with a teammate, but was seeking to capiltaize on his success and was a contract holdout to start 2016. The Jets can pay the man, go back to Smith, or turn to Christian Hackenberg, their second round draft pick out of Penn State.
Consistency is the hobgoblin of the Buffalo Bills, who leaned heavily toward the defensive side of the ball in the NFL draft looking to shore up their chances of ending an NFL-long playoff drought that extends back to 1999, adding Shaq Lawson and Reggie Ragland, who both figure to find their way into the starting lineup quickly.
As for the Dolphins, where do you start? Without a winning season since 2008, they grabbed one of the more sought after coaches in Adam Gase, but will he be the guy who can finally turn Ryan Tannehill into something more than an inconsistent, ordinary NFL quarterback?
Best AFC East Betting Lines
We provide the best AFC East betting lines below so keep your eye on them and find the game that is most appealing. Don’t forget to take into account the variety of betting types.
What Are The AFC East Standings
When you look at the AFC East standings listed here, go beyond the win-loss records and you’ll unearth a vast amount of information that will help you decide which way to go when betting.
How To Win AFC East Bets
Although the Bills were only 8-8 in 2015 and missed the playoffs for the 16th straight season, within the division the Bills were 4-2 straight up and 4-1-1 against the spread. Their downfall was a 19th overall ranking in the NFL in total defense.
On the other hand, the Miami Dolphins were every bit as bad as their 6-10 record indicated. The Dolphins were 5-11 against the spread and 1-5 both straight up and against the spread versus AFC East opposition.
The Dolphins were 4-8 in the conference and equally as bad at home (3-5) as they were on the road (3-5). Nine of Miami’s losses were by double digits, including a 36-7 road loss to the Patriots and a 41-14 home-field setback against the Bills.
The dominance of the AFC East is evident when you consider that three of the four teams – the New England Patriots (9-3), New York Jets (7-5) and Buffalo Bills (7-5) – posted winning records within the conference during the 2015 NFL season.
The Patriots (6-0) and Jets (5-1) were powerful at home against AFC opposition, while both the Patriots and Bills went 3-3 on the road in AFC games.
New England was the AFC’s best home team in 2015, going 7-1 for an .875 winning percentage and scoring an AFC-high 29 home touchdowns, while posting the most points (253) and widest point differential (+111) at home.
Since 1995 just one AFC East team has appeared in the Super Bowl, but they’ve been a fairly regular visitor. Since the 1996 NFL season the New England Patriots have appeared in an NFL-leading seven Super Bowls, going 4-3 in the big game. In that time period New England is the only NFL team to appear in consecutive Super Bowls and to win consecutive Super Bowls.
All four AFC East teams have played in the Super Bowl and three of them have won the big game. The Miami Dolphins won Super Bowl VII and VIII, while the New York Jets were the winners in Super Bowl III, the first time the AFL had defeated the NFL in a Super Bowl.
Although the Buffalo Bills have never won a Super Bowl, they remain the only team in NFL history to play in four successive Super Bowls.