Betting on UFC

UFC Bet Types

There are two ways you can wager on a given fight — moneyline and over/under.

The former is the standard pick-who-wins bet you find in every other sport. Unless the fight is a real toss-up, these odds are pretty unbalanced. Of course, this plays to your favor if you bet on the underdog, but no one's ever gotten rich off sports betting by regularly betting the underdog. Key word: regularly. Pick your battles wisely if you're riding with the underdog.

Instead of wagering on total points scored like other sports, over/unders in UFC are reserved for how many rounds the fight will last. Almost always, over/unders are fixed exactly at the half-way point of a bout. So if it's a five-round championship fight, the total is placed at 2.5 rounds. For regular three-round fights, this over/under dips to 1.5

Here's where things get tricky: time is very much a factor on over/unders. For example, what if a fight ends in the second round and you have the under 1.5? If the victory was before the 2:29 mark, the under hits, while 2:31 and above signals an over. Talk about every second counting...

UFC Betting Tips

Mixed martial arts is made up of a slew of fighting styles — boxing, jiu-jitsu, muay thai, wrestling, among others. This mish-mash of disciplines is what initially birthed the UFC in 1993 as promoters set out to see which style would triumph over the other.

After more than 25 years, it's safe to say, no one style is king. Instead, each style has their individual pros and cons. As a bettor, it's of the utmost importance to understand each.

Take a stand-up specialist for example. They might be deadly with their hands and feet while standing, however, they're typically more vulnerable on the ground. A fighter with a wrestling background could exploit the stand-up fighter with takedowns.

Having a strong grasp of in-ring styles also pays dividends when making high-pay-off prop bets, such as exact outcome of a fight (decision, knockout, submission). A jiu jitsi specialist wins fights via submission more often than knockout, while a fighter with excellent ground game typically goes the distance.

The sport has evolved to the point where top-level fighters like Daniel Cormier or Khabib can mix and match different styles, but they still have strengths and weaknesses in each discipline. If your research finds an opponent happens to excel at their weakness, you have yourself a mismatch — and those decide fights more than anything else.

We mentioned it earlier, but it's worth repeating: the UFC is the most unpredictable sport around. So even if you do your homework and find a mismatch, you just never quite know when one punch will throw all that out of the window.