Series don’t get much closer that the battle between the Kansas City Chiefs and Green Bay Packers. Although the Chiefs own a 7-4-1 edge in regular-season and postseason play, on the scoreboard it’s almost tied, Kansas City having outscored Green Bay 240-239 over the 12 games. The Chiefs are 3-1 at Green Bay, with a tie between the two teams in a game played at Milwaukee in 1973, which is considered a Packers home game. At home, the Chiefs are just 3-3 all-time in the regular season against Green Bay.
In 17 preseason games, the Packers and Chiefs have split the pie right down the middle at 8-8-1. Curiously, the tie was also played in Milwaukee, a 21-21 sawoff after overtime in 1988. The Chiefs are 5-1 at home against the Packers in preseason action, while the Packers hold a 5-1 advantage in games played at Green Bay. The Chiefs-Packers preseason record at Milwaukee is 1-1-1.
They’ve also split two neutral-site games, Green Bay winning 27-24 at Tokyo, Japan in 1998 and the Chiefs winning 9-0 at Canton, Ohio in the 2003 Hall of Fame game.
Developing Tradition – Since 2010 the Chiefs and Packers have been fairly regular opponents in the final week of the preseason, This will be the seventh time they’ve played in the last week of exhibition play over that span. It’s proven to be a good gig for the home team. Kansas City won at home in 2010, 2013 and 2016, while Green Bay were winners in 2011, 2012 and 2014. The last four games in this run were decided by an average margin of victory of 18.25 points per game.
Long And Short – Packers-Chiefs games are close, as the above information would certainly indicate, but in terms of individual outcomes, they tend to be either tight affairs or downright blowouts. Of the 17 preseason games between Kansas City and Green Bay, seven have been decided by a touchown or less, while seven finished with double-digit outcomes. In regular-season and postseason play, five Chiefs-Packers games finished with the teams separated by seven points or less and seven with margins of more than 10 points.
Under Centers Of Attention – The Chiefs will be breaking in a new quarterback this season, while the Packers are happy to report that their two-time MVP QB Aaron Rodgers (broken clavicle) is all healed and ready to go. Kansas City opted to part ways with veteran Alex Smith and hand the reins of the offense to 2017 first-round draft pick Patrick Mahomes. With only one career NFL regular-season start under his belt, the online sportsbooks aren’t sure what to make of Mahomes.
At Bovada, they’ve listed Mahomes at odds of +4000 to lead the NFL in passing yardage, but also at surprisingl low odds of +3300 to win recognition as the NFL’s MVP. At th same time, they list Mahomes among the contenders to throw the most interceptions in the NFL at odds of +1800. BetOnline also has Mahomes pegged at odds of +3300 to be the MVP, the same line they offer on Washington’s Smith, the man he replaced as Chiefs QB. BetOnline puts Mahomes at odds of +2800 to be the NFL’s leading passer.
There is no such quandary among the oddsmakers when it comes to Green Bay’s Rodgers. Bovada is all over the chances of Rodgers winning his third MVP award, listing him as the chalk at +550. BetOnline is right there with Bovada. Rodgers is also their MVP betting favorite at odds of +600. Rodgers is their co-fourth choice to lead the NFL in passing yardage at +1000. Bovada puts Rodgers as their co-sixth choice to lead the lead in passing yargage at +1400, but he’s their favorite to throw the most TD passes at +325.
Coming Back – There seems to be a limitless supply to comeback stories in the NFL this season – Andrew Luck in Indianapolis, Philadelphia’s Carson Wentz, DeShaun Watson and J.J. Watt in Houston, Odell Beckham Jr. and Eli Manning with the Giants, David Johnson in Arizona – but if Rodgers returns to his old MVP self, let’s face it, the NFL’s comeback player of the year award is his to lose. That’s definitely how Betway sees it. They’ve placed Rodgers atop all of these worthy contenders for the award as the odds-on favorite at +250.
Bet365 agrees wholeheartedly. They’ve also set up Rodgers as the chalk in their NFL comeback player of the year award prop bet. He’s at odds of +275. Bet365 has also put together an over/under wager on the total passing yards accumulated by Rodgers this season, establishing the total at 4050.5 yards. The over offers odds of -138, while an under wager will get you lowball odds of +100. Bet365 has Rodgers and New England’s Tom Brady as co-favorites to lead the NFL in TD passes at odds of +800.
High Flying – The Packers and Chiefs are both given strong odds of proving to be the NFL’s most potent team this season. Bet365 is offering a prop wager on which team will score the most points during the NFL regular season. Green Bay is the fourth betting choice at +1000. The Chiefs are locked in as the co-sixth choice in the wager at +1400, but also as the No. 2 contender among AFC teams behind only the New England Patriots, who are the chalk at +333.
Ball Hawk – Green Bay linebacker Blake Martinez shared the NFL lead in tackles and assists last season with 144, and naturally, Bet365 has him right there as a leading contender to finish atop the NFL in this category in 2018. Martinez is the co-second betting choice in this market at +1200. A big year from Martinez could pay off for you, just as his 2017 campaign paid off for him. He collected $384,390.54 in performance bonus clauses last season in addition to his $540,000 base salary.
This Hunt’s No Dog – One factor that could really make life easier under center for Mahomes is the presence of sophomore running back Kareem Hunt, who led the NFL in rushing as a rookie in 2017 with 1327 yards. Surprisingly, Bovada has Hunt as their seventh betting choice to lead the NFL in rushing this season at odds of +950. Hunt scored 11 TDs last season and Bet365 lists him as their co-sixth choice to top the NFL in this department at odds of +1600.