Gary | Thu 08/06/2017 - 10:56 EDT

Belmont Stakes Picks

Belmont Stakes Picks

2017 Belmont Stakes Predictions

The late withdrawal of pre-race favorite Classic Empire from the Belmont changes the complexion of the race. By most accounts he was considered the one to beat at what would have been very short odds. The race now opens up a bit for the others, and odds offered by Bovada and other online racebooks should be a little more spread out.

Although drawing the #2 post didn't provide much help, Tapwrit (6-1 in the morning line) is one of several, after running sixth in the Kentucky Derby and skipping the Preakness Stakes, with a good shot. He got slammed leaving the gate in the Derby and was forced to start the race way back in 15th place.

He did, however, move up well on the sloppy track. Expect him to race mid-pack and try to rally in the stretch. His sire has produced four in-the-money Belmont Stakes horses in the past three years, including the 2016 and 2014 winners.

Breaking from the #7 post, Irish War Cry (7-2) also skipped the Preakness after a very disappointing tenth in the Kentucky Derby as the second favorite. He has very good speed out of the gate and should be able to establish a good stalking position up the backstretch, waiting to pounce on the leader as they come into the top of the stretch. He's been on a good-race, bad-race pattern, which could indicate a bounce back here.

Just to Irish War Cry's outside in post #8, Senior Investment (12-1) has improved during his three-year-old season, winning the (G3) Lexington in his second stakes attempt, while running on well to get up for third in the Preakness, passing the second-place runner in the Kentucky Derby in the process.

Although deep closers like him don't typically win the Belmont Stakes, the race is expected to have a fairly quick pace with several front runners in the field. This colt could be the biggest beneficiary if the speed horses falter in the stretch.

As recently as 2013 we saw California Chrome outrun his sprinting pedigree to capture longer-distance stakes races, and to get into the Belmont picture, Multiplier (15-1), who breaks from gate #10, will be tasked with doing the same thing.

But where Chrome's sire and dam were virtual unknowns, Multiplier's parents were both Grade 1 winners at races of a mile or less. He hasn't run at any distance less than a mile, and has a win in the 1 1/8 mile (G3) Illinois Derby, in the fastest time in that event in 20 years. He was just okay in the Preakness, and trainer Brenden Walsh has added blinkers to try and get him to focus a bit more on the task at hand.

2017 Belmont Long Shot

Being down in the #1 slot in the gate isn't ideal for Twisted Tom (20-1), but he has shown enough early speed in the past to get upfront and clear of trouble by the time they hit the first turn.

He's coming in on a three-race win streak, although his last two were at the minor stakes level. It's significant to note that one of his wins has come on the Belmont dirt, and trainer Chad Brown is one of the most successful on the track.

BABB Picks

1) Tapwrit

2) Irish War Cry

3) Senior Investment

4) Multiplier

Long Shot Chance

Twisted Tom

Post time for the Belmont is 6:37 PM Eastern.        

Category : Betting Picks

Tag : belmont long shot , belmont picks , belmont predictions

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