Bob Duff | Tue 24/04/2018 - 04:33 EDT

2018 NFL Draft Prop Bets: Which QB Will The Browns Opt to Roll With?

2018 NFL Draft Prop Bets: Which QB Will The Browns Opt to Roll With?
Twenty-eight. That's a number that haunts the Cleveland Browns every bit as much as the 0-16 record they posted during the 2017 NFL season. Since 1999, the Brown have gone through 28 starting quarterbacks. That's a lot of QBs, on average a new one every 10.85 games. And there's Cleveland with the first pick in the NFL draft, trying to decide which QB to draft.

QB or not QB? That is the Brown’s Perplexing Question

Sam Darnold or Josh Allen? Josh Allen or Sam Darnold? If you watched yourself some college football last season, you might put forth the argument that you can’t go wrong drafting either of these stud quarterbacks. But you’re not Cleveland Browns GM John Dorsey. Your team didn’t draft Johnny Manziel, Brandon Weeden, Brady Quinn and Tim Couch, so yes, you can get it wrong. When it comes to QBs, the Browns have redefined how to get it wrong, running 28 of them out under center since 1999.

That’s why in their latest reboot, the Browns have to get it right (Yes, we know. You’ve heard that one before). And that’s why they will spend the first overall pick of the 2018 NFL Draft on USC’s Darnold, the man Bovada tabs as the overwhelming -240 favorite to be the first selection, because he’s the safe pick. Darnold has huge potential, and yes, there’s the turnover concern (37 in 26 games), but Darnold won’t have to step in and play. The Browns acquired Tyrod Taylor from Buffalo to keep the center warm for him until he’s ready.

As much as Wyoming’s Allen (+160) jumps off the page at you – 6’5″, 237 pounds, a 4.79 in the 40 – he’s just too much of a roll of the dice for a team that’s seen the house take their money so many times at the draft table. When you play at a school that faces mostly second-tier competition, you need to absolutely shred the opposition, dominate them like it ain’t a thing. Allen didn’t do that, so for all his physical tools, the Browns simply can’t go there.

First Round Trends to Watch and Wager

baker

Bovada is offering several prop bets on how the first round of the draft will play out, and here’s how we break them down:

Where Will Baker Mayfield Be Drafted? 

The Heisman Trophy winner from Oklahoma is a bit of an uncertainty. He was the most prolific passer in the NCAA, connecting for 41 touchdowns while being picked off a scant five times. But there are issues with Mayfield’s size and maturity, though word is he interviewed well at the NFL Combines. Bovada has set the bar at 6.5 on Mayfield, but the Arizona Cardinals, who pick fifth, won’t let Mayfield get past them, if he’s still there.

BABB Pick: Under 6.5 (-280)

Where Will Bradley Chubb Be Drafted? 

A sensation on the defensive side of the ball, North Carolina State edge rusher Chubb has collected more than 10 sacks and better than 20 tackles for losses in each of the past two seasons. Bovada has set Chubb’s over/under at 4.5 The Browns, who own the No. 4 pick, would love to get their hands on Penn State all-purpose performer Saquon Barkley, but he’ll be gone to the New York Giants at No. 2. Cleveland will settle for Chubb at four and will be all smiles because of it.

BABB Pick: Under 4.5 (-115)

Where Will Lamar Jackson Be Drafted? 

The 2016 Heisman Trophy winner from Louisville might just be the most dynamic QB in the draft in terms of raw athleticism and ability to impact a game in creative ways. But the NFL is a square peg into a square hole kind of league, and Jackson is a wildcard. A team will need to craft its offense around his unique skill set. Bovada has set the total at 17.5 for Jackson, and we think a team that might be intrigued by what he has to offer could be the Cincinnati Bengals at No. 21.

BABB Pick: Over 17.5 (-155)

Do The Math On These NFL Draft Projections

dj

Some other prop bets from Bovada that are worth a wager:

Who Will Be The First Wide Receiver Drafted?

The crop of wideouts available this season is deep and intriguing. Alabama’s Calvin Ridley (-190) is the betting favorite, but we think despite his impressive credentials, Ridley will be pipped at the post by Maryland’s D.J.  Moore. The Dallas Cowboys could see Moore bringing to them the X-factor type of skills they lost via the departure of Dez Bryant, and as an added bonus, Moore is also an ace return man.

BABB Pick: D.J. Moore (+210)

Will The Top Three Picks All Be Quarterbacks?

We’ve already indicated the passion that the Giants hold for Penn State running back Saquon Barkley, so you should already be aware of which way to play this wager. It’s a good bet that four of the top six picks will be QBs, but not the the top three. And while you’re at it, you might want to double down and play Barkley at +130 to go second overall.

BABB Pick: No (-140)

How Many Alabama Players Will Go In The First Round?

It just wouldn’t be a college football-related event without some reference to the Crimson Tide, now would it? Bovada has set the line at 3.5. We like Ridley to go in the first round for sure, as well as DB Minkah Fitzpatrick, DT Da’Ron Payne and LB Rashaan Evans. 

BABB Pick: Over (-300)

Category : Betting Picks

Tag : 201 NFL Draft , Baker Mayfield , D.J. Moore , Josh Allen , Lamar Jackson , NFL Football Betting , sam darnold

More articles...
Betting Picks - 17/01/19
Bet On The Lecomte Stakes 2019 
The winter thoroughbred racing season and the continued chase for points and a spot in the 2019 Kentucky Derby kicks into high gear this Saturday at Fair Grounds Race Course in New Orleans. The Louisiana track hosts the running of the $200,000 (G3) Lecomte Stakes, and the race has drawn a field of 14. They'll be asked to run just over one mile on the Fair Grounds dirt track.
Betting Picks - 14/01/19
NFL Conference Finals 2019: Will The Saints Go Marching On? 
The form charts held through the NFL Divisional Playoff Round, with all four home teams who drew the benefit of the bye week advancing to the conference final games. Should you ride the home favorites with your NFL picks in this round, or are there visitors capable of upsetting the NFL odds and coming through? In both the AFC and NFC, the home team has won the last five conference championship games.
Betting Picks - 14/01/19
The 2020 US Election: Can Anyone Beat Trump The Donald? 
The passage of the November mid-terms and the opening of the 116th U.S. Congress has made it abundantly clear - the next election cycle, which will include the 2020 Presidential election, is officially underway in the United States. Already, Senator Elizabeth Warren has declared her candicacy for the 2020 Democratic Party Presidential nomination and the floogates are sure to open soon with other hopefuls throwing their proverbial hats into the ring.
Betting Picks - 10/01/19
World Surf League 2019 Futures: Who Will Be Crowned Champion? 
The 2019 World Surf League Championship Tour schedule has been announced and sees the men’s tour head to 11 exotic destinations and the women visit 10 locations between April and December.

Surfing betting is extremely fun and can be profitable if you know which surfers to bet on. In the women’s WSL tour it will be Stephanie Gilmore who goes into the competition as the overall favorite with Gabriel Medina looking to secure back-to-back titles in the men’s championship.